It is very interesting that Soros said the financial market and human society is self-reflexion, self-correlated. I am tend to agree with this since society is the combination of human beings. I also have the believe, that if computer have all information about the world, the computer can forecast everything in the world, including the financial markets. If I believe in above, then I should first build the channel for information and then train the model to trade by itself. And in the future the competition in financial markets would be the competition from models. Human are designed to design tools. So we need to build the best tool. The most powerful model could precisely forecast the future.
While I am trying to taggling with macro forecast, it seems it is very complicatd. The macro factors I would need to consider is out of my understanding and control. So it is better to focus on the factors thaat I do understand and can control.
Global environments:
Politics:
Economy:
Culture:
Education: World: the average education level is improving gradually. China: as Children numbers are reducing,
Technology:
Big events:
Trends:
Cycles:
Shocks:
Major markets:
Equity:
Trading plans:
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